Davante Adams enters the 2025–26 NFL season wearing new colors and carrying old expectations. After a rocky year with the Jets, Adams finds himself in Los Angeles, now part of a Rams offense looking to reassert itself in the NFC. The shift isn’t just geographic—it’s strategic. Bettors and fans should note that Adams’ player props will likely reflect a different usage, environment, and ceiling than we saw last year.
This season, let’s unpack what this means for his receptions, yardage, and touchdown markets.
Projecting Receptions: Stable Volume, Cleaner Efficiency
Adams drew 141 targets last season, ranking among the league’s most targeted players. He hauled in 85 receptions, placing 18th overall. Those numbers suggest he remained a focal point, even in a dysfunctional Jets offense that struggled to move the ball consistently.
The Rams likely didn’t sign Adams to serve as a decoy. Without Kupp in the picture, Adams walks in as the clear WR1, and unless a rookie or second-year breakout surprises in camp, he should dominate the receiver room in both snap count and target share. Even with a new system, the offense will need a veteran who can win on timing routes and bail out a developing quarterback under pressure. Adams still does that better than most.
His season-long receptions line will likely open around 88.5 to 90.5, with weekly totals in the 5.5 to 6.5 range depending on the matchup. That volume feels sustainable if he remains healthy and avoids early chemistry issues with his quarterback.
Yardage Props: Expect a Bounce, Not a Breakout
Adams posted 1,063 receiving yards in 2024, again finishing 18th league-wide. It was respectable, especially considering the offense’s inconsistency and lack of rhythm. But his 12.5 yards per reception ranked just 109th—a stark drop from his peak years.
This isn’t just a stat-line problem—it’s a usage issue. The Jets struggled to create opportunities for him in open space, and inconsistent quarterback play limited his chances to generate yards after the catch. If the Rams’ new offense emphasizes quicker reads, slants, and intermediate zone coverage beaters, Adams’ per-catch value should rise again. That’ll be especially true if the team leans on play action to keep defenses honest.
For bettors, this presents a unique situation. Davante Adams player props—especially his receiving yard totals—could offer value early in the season, before the market adjusts to his new role in Los Angeles. You’ll likely see his season yardage prop around 1,100.5, which makes sense. He’s still a 1,200-yard receiver on paper, but transition risk caps the betting line. His weekly yard props may open in the mid-60s, with upside in favorable matchups.
Touchdowns: Red Zone Reliability Still Pays
Adams found the end zone eight times last season, tying for 13th among all wide receivers. Even when an offense breaks down, elite red zone route runners stay valuable, and Adams remains one of the best in that area. He excels on fades, slants, and back-shoulders, where timing and body control matter more than top-end speed.
The Rams don’t have a dominant tight end or red-zone running back to lean on, so Adams will likely absorb a large share of scoring looks inside the 20. Whether it’s contested catches or rub routes that spring him open, his ability to win near the goal line won’t go away.
Betting Strategy: Look for Early Line Value
Adams’ props might be slightly discounted to start the year. A new offense, an unfamiliar quarterback, and a shifting team identity could push oddsmakers toward conservative estimates. That’s where early value exists, especially for overs on yardage and receptions in soft matchups. Staying ahead in this market means paying attention to depth charts, injuries, scheme hints, and roster movement that affect usage. Keeping up with the latest NFL player news is crucial, especially during camp and the season’s early weeks when teams are still adjusting. If Adams builds chemistry quickly or emerges as the clear top option in practice reports, bettors who act before the market reacts can get the best number.
New Jersey, Familiar Stakes
Adams might be entering his age-33 season, but he’s not entering decline. The context around him has changed, but the skillset hasn’t. His hands, route running, and feel for defensive leverage still separate him from most receivers in the league. You’ll see in 2025 a version of Adams molded to a new team, but still capable of delivering for sharp prop bettors watching closely.
